Concept

Financial risk modeling

Publications associées (30)

Spatial analysis of 10-year predicted risk and incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: the CoLaus cohort

Stéphane Joost, Idris Guessous, David Nicolas De Ridder, Guillaume Jordan

Whether cardiovascular risk scores geographically aggregate and inform on spatial development of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (ASCVD) remains unknown. Our aim is to determine the spatial distribution of 10-year predicted cardiovascular risk and ...

2024

Challenging the Assumptions: Rethinking Privacy, Bias, and Security in Machine Learning

Bogdan Kulynych

Predictive models based on machine learning (ML) offer a compelling promise: bringing clarity and structure to complex natural and social environments. However, the use of ML poses substantial risks related to the privacy of their training data as well as ...

EPFL2023

Multi-Level Monte Carlo Methods for Uncertainty Quantification and Risk-Averse Optimisation

Sundar Subramaniam Ganesh

This work aims to study the effects of wind uncertainties in civil engineering structural design. Optimising the design of a structure for safety or operability without factoring in these uncertainties can result in a design that is not robust to these per ...

EPFL2022

Principles of checkpoint override

Ahmad Sadeghi

Why biological quality-control systems fail is often mysterious. Specifically, checkpoints such as the DNA damage checkpoint or the spindle assembly checkpoint are overriden after prolonged arrests allowing cells to continue dividing despite the continued ...

EPFL2022

Lower-bounds on the Bayesian Risk in Estimation Procedures via f–Divergences

Michael Christoph Gastpar, Adrien Vandenbroucque, Amedeo Roberto Esposito

We consider the problem of parameter estimation in a Bayesian setting and propose a general lower-bound that includes part of the family of f-Divergences. The results are then applied to specific settings of interest and compared to other notable results i ...

2022

Surveying the environmental life-cycle performance assessments: Practice and context at early building design stages

Marilyne Andersen, Thomas Bernard Paul Jusselme

The international greenhouse gas agreements call for mitigations in the building industry. Thus, the number of scientific publications about life-cycle performance assessment (LCPA) follows an exponential trend since the 2000s. However, previous surveys hi ...

2020

Covid-19 contact tracing: efficacy and privacy

This article assesses the risk-risk trade-off between privacy and efficacy that the use of contact tracing apps entails. It argues for the use of privacy-preserving apps, but highlights potential weaknesses and cautions against allowing digital tracing to ...

EPFL2020

Optimizing the trade-off between performance measures and operational risk in a food supply chain environment

Philippe Wieser, Nicolas Zufferey, Simone Lydia Voldrich

In the context of a growing world population and the need to use limited resources responsibly, this study is motivated by the increasing pressures on the food industry, which include issues of food security, safety, and waste. In the context of a global f ...

SPRINGER2020

Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Learning

Soroosh Shafieezadeh Abadeh

Many decision problems in science, engineering, and economics are affected by uncertainty, which is typically modeled by a random variable governed by an unknown probability distribution. For many practical applications, the probability distribution is onl ...

EPFL2020

Are insurance balance sheets carbon-neutral? Harnessing asset pricing for climate change policy(dagger)

Jiahua Xu

Due to its enormous size and capital base, the insurance industry has the potential to play a key role in countering climate change. To this end, the major capital flows associated with its investment and underwriting businesses would need to be redirected ...

PALGRAVE MACMILLAN LTD2019

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