Publication

Analysis of a Class of Multilevel Markov Chain Monte Carlo Algorithms Based on Independent Metropolis–Hastings

Publications associées (33)

Spatiotemporal wildfire modeling through point processes with moderate and extreme marks

Accurate spatiotemporal modeling of conditions leading to moderate and large wildfires provides better understanding of mechanisms driving fire-prone ecosystems and improves risk management. Here, we develop a joint model for the occurrence intensity and t ...

2023

HIERARCHICAL MARKOV CHAIN MONTE CARLO METHODS FOR BAYESIAN INVERSE PROBLEMS

Juan Pablo Madrigal Cianci

This thesis is devoted to the construction, analysis, and implementation of two types of hierarchical Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for the solution of large-scale Bayesian Inverse Problems (BIP).The first hierarchical method we present is based ...

EPFL2022

Gradient-based optimisation of the conditional-value-at-risk using the multi-level Monte Carlo method

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In this work, we tackle the problem of minimising the Conditional-Value-at-Risk (CVaR) of output quantities of complex differential models with random input data, using gradient-based approaches in combination with the Multi-Level Monte Carlo (MLMC) method ...

2022

MATHICSE Technical Report : Analysis of a class of Multi-Level Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms based on Independent Metropolis-Hastings

Fabio Nobile, Juan Pablo Madrigal Cianci

In this work, we present, analyze, and implement a class of Multi-Level Markov chain Monte Carlo (ML-MCMC) algorithms based on independent Metropolis-Hastings proposals for Bayesian inverse problems. In this context, the likelihood function involves solvin ...

MATHICSE2021

Probabilistic and Bayesian methods for uncertainty quantification of deterministic and stochastic differential equations

Giacomo Garegnani

In this thesis we explore uncertainty quantification of forward and inverse problems involving differential equations. Differential equations are widely employed for modeling natural and social phenomena, with applications in engineering, chemistry, meteor ...

EPFL2021

MATHICSE Technical Report : Generalized Parallel Tempering on Bayesian Inverse Problems

Fabio Nobile, Juan Pablo Madrigal Cianci

In the current work we present two generalizations of the Parallel Tempering algorithm, inspired by the so-called continuous-time Infinite Swapping algorithm. Such a method, found its origins in the molecular dynamics community, and can be understood as th ...

MATHICSE2020

Inference methods for the study of interacting biological oscillators in single-cells

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Biological oscillators are pervasive in biology, covering all aspects of life from enzyme kinetics reactions to population dynamics. Although their behaviour has been intensively studied in the last decades, the recent advances of high-throughput experimen ...

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Efficient Learning from Comparisons

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Humans are comparison machines: comparing and choosing an item among a set of alternatives (such as objects or concepts) is arguably one of the most natural ways for us to express our preferences and opinions. In many applications, the analysis of data con ...

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A Bayesian view of doubly robust causal inference

In causal inference the effect of confounding may be controlled using regression adjustment in an outcome model, propensity score adjustment, inverse probability of treatment weighting or a combination of these. Approaches based on modelling the treatment ...

Oxford University Press2016

Bayesian Inference For The Brown-Resnick Process, With An Application To Extreme Low Temperatures

Anthony Christopher Davison, Emeric Rolland Georges Thibaud

The Brown-Resnick max-stable process has proven to be well suited for modeling extremes of complex environmental processes, but in many applications its likelihood function is intractable and inference must be based on a composite likelihood, thereby preve ...

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