Concept
Consensus forecast
Publications associées (51)
Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020-2021
Joseph Chadi Benoit Lemaitre, Pan Xu, Weitong Zhang, Wei Cao, Myungjin Kim, Shan Yu, Xinyi Li, Lei Gao
During the COVID-19 pandemic, forecasting COVID-19 trends to support planning and response was a priority for scientists and decision makers alike. In the United States, COVID-19 forecasting was coordinated by a large group of universities, companies, and ...
Public Library Science2024Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations
Ekaterina Krymova, Nicola Parolini, Andrea Kraus, David Kraus, Daniel Lopez, Markus Scholz, Tao Sun
Background:Short-term forecasts of infectious disease burden can contribute to situational awareness and aid capacity planning. Based on best practice in other fields and recent insights in infectious disease epidemiology, one can maximise the predictive p ...
eLIFE SCIENCES PUBL LTD2023Improved extended-range prediction of persistent stratospheric perturbations using machine learning
On average every 2 years, the stratospheric polar vortex exhibits extreme perturbations known as sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs). The impact of these events is not limited to the stratosphere: but they can also influence the weather at the surface of ...
Gottingen2023National and subnational short-term forecasting of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during early 2021
Ekaterina Krymova, Markus Scholz
Background During the COVID-19 pandemic there has been a strong interest in forecasts of the short-term development of epidemiological indicators to inform decision makers. In this study we evaluate probabilistic real-time predictions of confirmed cases an ...
London2022A Dynamic Multi-Region MFD Model for Ride-Sourcing Systems with Ridesplitting
Nikolaos Geroliminis, Caio Vitor Beojone
Dynamic network-level models directly addressing ride-sourcing services can be useful for the development of efficient traffic management strategies both for city and company operators. Recent developments presented models under equilibrium situations for ...
2022