Concept

Technology forecasting

Publications associées (37)

Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020-2021

Joseph Chadi Benoit Lemaitre, Pan Xu, Weitong Zhang, Wei Cao, Myungjin Kim, Shan Yu, Xinyi Li, Lei Gao

During the COVID-19 pandemic, forecasting COVID-19 trends to support planning and response was a priority for scientists and decision makers alike. In the United States, COVID-19 forecasting was coordinated by a large group of universities, companies, and ...

Public Library Science2024

Towards Motion Forecasting with Real-World Perception Inputs: Are End-to-End Approaches Competitive?

Alexandre Massoud Alahi

Motion forecasting is crucial in enabling autonomous vehicles to anticipate the future trajectories of surrounding agents. To do so, it requires solving mapping, detection, tracking, and then forecasting problems, in a multi-step pipeline. In this complex ...

2024

Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations

Ekaterina Krymova, Nicola Parolini, Andrea Kraus, David Kraus, Daniel Lopez, Markus Scholz, Tao Sun

Background:Short-term forecasts of infectious disease burden can contribute to situational awareness and aid capacity planning. Based on best practice in other fields and recent insights in infectious disease epidemiology, one can maximise the predictive p ...

eLIFE SCIENCES PUBL LTD2023

Optimizing Sales Forecasting, Inventory, Pricing and Sourcing Decisions

Yara Kayyali El Alem

In this thesis we address various factors that contribute both theoretically and practically to mitigating supply demand mismatches. The thesis is composed of three chapters, where each chapter is an independent scientific paper. In the first paper, we dev ...

EPFL2023

Activity-based modeling and simulation of epidemics

Michel Bierlaire, Cloe Cortes Balcells, Rico Krüger

The SARS-CoV-2 outburst in March 2020 has led to the lockdown of several countries across the world. Mobility restrictions have been constantly put into action and reversed to find the trade-off between minimizing the number of infections and death and mit ...

2021

Building Electricity Demand Forecasting with Temporal Hierarchies

Lorenzo Donadio

Accurate building electricity load forecasts play a major role in the energy transition, as they facilitate flexibility deployment, grid stability and overall reduce costs and CO2 emissions. This research leaverages forecasting and reconciliation of tempor ...

2021

Tools for multi time horizon PV point forecasting and prediction intervals

Mario Paolone, Fabrizio Sossan, Enrica Scolari

The massive integration of stochastic renewable generation in modern power systems requires decentralized control schemes that cope with the uncertainties of the distributed energy resources (DERs). Among the DERs, small-scale photovoltaic (PV) systems are ...

SCCER-FURIES2020

Waste collection inventory routing with non-stationary stochastic demands

Michel Bierlaire, Sacha Varone, Mohammad Yousef Maknoon, Iliya Dimitrov Markov

We solve a rich routing problem inspired from practice, in which a heterogeneous fixed fleet is used for collecting recyclable waste from large containers over a finite planning horizon. Each container is equipped with a sensor that communicates its level ...

PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD2020

Model based forecasting for demand response strategies

Lorenzo Nespoli

The incremental deployment of decentralized renewable energy sources in the distribution grid is triggering a paradigm change for the power sector. This shift from a centralized structure with big power plants to a decentralized scenario of distributed ene ...

EPFL2019

Information-gap decision theory (IGDT): a new promising method for management of uncertainties in hydropower projects: case study

Anton Schleiss, Felix Oberrauch

The design of hydropower is determined by estimates and long-term forecasts. These forecasts and estimates are highly uncertain and make performance evaluation and design choices challenging. Effective values deviating from the estimates can have a signifi ...

Hydropower&Dams, Aqua Media International2018

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